Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.359655 3.747843 4.168673 4.659745 5.218251 5.835068 6.569748
2025-02-16 2.782831 3.301861 3.905679 4.663771 5.595308 6.709218 8.151942
2025-02-23 2.431673 3.019969 3.741371 4.698803 5.947653 7.537166 9.738765
2025-03-02 2.115565 2.722209 3.497366 4.572383 6.043383 8.013133 10.896931
2025-03-09 1.899361 2.518762 3.338539 4.519424 6.204244 8.563719 12.193830
2025-03-16 1.722675 2.344925 3.194085 4.458812 6.331436 9.061457 13.455176
2025-03-23 1.646008 2.298169 3.215146 4.626487 6.794592 10.085343 15.629094
2025-03-30 1.530474 2.183573 3.125644 4.617254 6.983206 10.703436 17.229857
2025-04-06 1.422412 2.069446 3.024655 4.576688 7.112052 11.231504 18.737852
2025-04-13 1.278278 1.889413 2.808775 4.334468 6.887903 11.150915 19.169215
2025-04-20 1.209516 1.819006 2.755038 4.345054 7.078684 11.783224 20.954280
2025-04-27 1.166919 1.785646 2.755796 4.443075 7.424376 12.717275 23.424126
2025-05-04 1.118125 1.740416 2.736343 4.509456 7.729218 13.627275 26.015225
2025-05-11 1.069628 1.692147 2.708090 4.557886 8.006687 14.519606 28.713059
2025-05-18 1.024403 1.645778 2.678912 4.600919 8.276710 15.426682 31.582405
2025-05-25 0.955141 1.553958 2.564890 4.479210 8.218254 15.672765 33.036467
2025-06-01 0.903561 1.488929 2.492591 4.427817 8.290265 16.189162 35.178788
2025-06-08 0.855082 1.426129 2.419700 4.368673 8.339692 16.661527 37.289780
2025-06-15 0.843136 1.426938 2.460995 4.532472 8.861621 18.212614 42.294972
2025-06-22 0.807526 1.382871 2.416741 4.523456 9.018364 18.971527 45.428917
2025-06-29 0.770408 1.333776 2.359747 4.483833 9.104487 19.578075 48.267290
2025-07-06 0.710673 1.239656 2.211952 4.247214 8.734800 19.074503 48.002062
2025-07-13 0.685726 1.209138 2.184069 4.257556 8.919710 19.920476 51.665745